Core Idea
Most engineering “strategies” are lists of aspirations with no diagnosis and no guiding policies. Rumelt’s kernel — Diagnosis, Guiding Policies, Coherent Actions — defines the structure that makes strategy actionable.
Most engineering “strategies” are not strategies at all. They are aspiration lists (“we will be world-class”) or goal inventories with no connective tissue. Richard Rumelt calls this bad strategy, and Will Larson applies the diagnosis directly to engineering leadership.
Rumelt’s Kernel of Good Strategy
A good strategy has three interlocking parts:
-
Diagnosis: A clear-eyed assessment of the specific challenge. Not “we need to scale” but “our deployment pipeline averages 4 hours because 47 integration tests flake on every run, blocking daily releases.” A good diagnosis names the constraint, not just the symptom.
-
Guiding Policies: Rules and principles that address the diagnosis by shaping decision-making without specifying exact actions. Example: “We will not add new integration tests until flake rate is below 5%. We will invest in parallel pipeline stages as the primary path to speed.”
-
Coherent Actions: Specific, sequenced steps that implement the guiding policies — mutually reinforcing, not pulling in different directions. Example: “Q1 — one engineer dedicated to flaky test elimination. Q2 — implement parallel build stages.”
What Bad Strategy Looks Like in Engineering
- Aspirations masquerading as strategy: “We will be the best engineering team in our space”
- Goal lists with no connective tissue: each objective unrelated to a structural constraint
- Guiding policies that don’t address the diagnosis
- Conflating strategy with vision — vision describes the destination; strategy navigates the specific terrain
The Most Commonly Missed Step: Diagnosis
Larson observes that most engineering strategies fail at the Diagnosis step. Engineering managers are optimists by training — they diagnose “we need more resources” rather than naming the structural obstacle: the architectural coupling, the process bottleneck, the knowledge concentration.
Without an honest diagnosis, guiding policies float free of reality, and coherent actions become impossible to sequence.
Applying the Kernel
- Name the single hardest thing — the constraint that makes the goal difficult
- Define 2–4 policies that directly address that constraint
- Sequence concrete actions consistent with each other and with the policies
- Verify: do the actions implement the policies? Do the policies address the diagnosis?
Related Concepts
Sources
-
Rumelt, Richard P. (2011). Good Strategy Bad Strategy: The Difference and Why It Matters. Crown Business. ISBN: 978-0-307-88623-1.
- Chapters 1–5 define the kernel and identify hallmarks of bad strategy
-
Larson, Will (2019). An Elegant Puzzle: Systems of Engineering Management. Stripe Press. ISBN: 978-1-7322651-8-9.
- Chapter 5.4: applies Rumelt’s kernel to engineering leadership
-
Porter, Michael E. (1996). “What Is Strategy?” Harvard Business Review, November–December 1996, Vol. 74, No. 6, pp. 61–78.
- Foundational distinction between operational effectiveness and strategy
-
Mintzberg, Henry, Bruce Ahlstrand, and Joseph Lampel (1998). Strategy Safari. Free Press. ISBN: 978-0-684-84743-7.
- Surveys ten schools of strategy thought; contextualises the design school from which Rumelt’s kernel derives
-
Lafley, A.G. and Roger L. Martin (2013). Playing to Win: How Strategy Really Works. Harvard Business Review Press. ISBN: 978-1-4221-8739-6.
- “Five choices” strategy cascade; practitioner implementation model complementing Rumelt’s kernel
Note
This content was drafted with assistance from AI tools for research, organization, and initial content generation. All final content has been reviewed, fact-checked, and edited by the author to ensure accuracy and alignment with the author’s intentions and perspective.